- The Bureau of Meteorology has declared an El Niño event is likely to happen this year.
- It will remain at an alert stage for another fortnight.
- An El Niño event could increase the risk of drought, heatwaves, and bushfires.
“When El Niño alert criteria have been met in the past, an El Niño event has developed around 70 per cent of the time,” the BoM said in a statement.
El Niño conditions could contribute to conditions for bushfires in Australia, climate scientists have warned. Source: AAP / Jono Searle
An El Niño event could increase the risk of drought, heatwaves, and bushfires.
“The Pacific Ocean and atmosphere have yet to become fully coupled, as occurs during El Niño events,” the BoM statement said.
How would an El Niño impact Australia?
“Without much stronger climate action than we are currently taking, we can expect to see much worse conditions in the future,” he said.
That implies humid onshore breezes increasing the discomfort factor which is dangerous for human health, he said.
“In 2023 this could be linked to above-average sea surface temperatures around north-eastern Australia,” she said. “This anomaly is likely related to ongoing ocean warming due to global heating.”
https://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/el-nino-explained/rp7y95nsq El Niño ‘likely’ but not yet official. Here’s why