Opinion | Mark Stewart and John Mueller weigh the incredible cost of overreacting to 9/11 in Western countries.Newcastle Herald

News, Local News, 9/11, Terrorism, Risks, Costs, Attacks, September 11, Policy

As Australia follows the United States’ departure from Afghanistan, it may be time to count the cost of overreacting to the tragic terrorist attacks that occurred 20 years ago on September 11, 2001. Responding to hijacking-Previously it seemed wise to negotiate with hijackers. The following year, the bombing of Bali caused terrorism to Australians. For some time, some vigilance was justified. With the flood of alert reports, domestic and foreign intelligence officials were convinced that even attacks involving nuclear weapons would soon be a major attack. In fact, none of these, or virtually none, have appeared. In addition, the 9/11 attack was not proven to be a precursor. Terrorist attacks before and after, both inside and outside the war zone, did not even result in a tenth of the destruction. Military invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq have begun to overthrow a regime that has little or no relation to 9/11. These wars led to an expanded rebellion suppression operation that resulted in at least 100 times more deaths than those who died in 9/11. Four times as many Australians died in Afghanistan on 9/11. In the United States, the War on Terror has led to the establishment of the Department of Homeland Security in a hurry, expanding the role of many other institutions in combating terrorism. Over $ 2 trillion is spent on these ventures. Australia was more cautious about spending, but it’s a fair amount of another $ 30 billion spent here over the last two decades. Despite these huge expenditures, there was no systematic or rational assessment to see if the funds were used wisely. In part, effective analysis begins to justify the costs of US counterterrorism companies, with 300 attacks each year (or about once a day), such as the Boston Marathon bombings. It may indicate that it had to be done. Lack of security measures. Or, 30 attacks a year, such as the 2005 attack in London. In other words, you can make a profit of less than 5 cents at a cost of $ 1. The risk of being killed in a terrorist attack is certainly small. For example, between 2002 and 2016, the odds were 1 in 9 million in Western Europe, 1 in 39 million in the United States, and 1 in 80 million. Australia. In contrast, the annual risk of murder in Australia is 1 in 56,000 and 1 in 20,000 in a car accident. The global annual chance of a terrorist killing a passenger plane is about 1 in 320 million in the period since 9/11. One must fly once a day for 30,000 years before being involved in a terrorist attack. News: Related to this is the concept of acceptable risk. In other words, how safe and sufficient it is. Applying traditional analytical criteria, terrorism poses a threat to human life in the western world under the current, generally acceptable circumstances. And efforts to further reduce that possibility and consequences, especially the expensive ones, are barely justified. For all pessimistic difficulties, risk assessment and communication should at least be part of a policy debate on terrorism, which is a much smaller danger than commonly depicted. We are now working on a more deadly danger, the COVID-19 pandemic. Although far from perfect in many parts of the world, this approach has relied primarily on evidence-based science and public health modeling and statistics to inform government strategies. For example, the potential for death from the side effects of vaccines and whether they pose an acceptable risk have been widely debated. Had such a rational and transparent approach been taken against the threat of international terrorism, many of the costly excesses of our response to 9/11 would have been avoided. Our journalists are working hard to bring the latest local news to the community. To continue to access trusted content:



Opinion | Mark Stewart and John Mueller weigh the incredible cost of overreacting to 9/11 in Western countries.Newcastle Herald

Source link Opinion | Mark Stewart and John Mueller weigh the incredible cost of overreacting to 9/11 in Western countries.Newcastle Herald

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