“I’m a little worried that the number of tests is starting to decline,” said the COVID-19 commander before deciding what restrictions could be relaxed this week.
“If the number of tests is very low in the next 3-4 days and one or two cases are still found, it will be very difficult to decide on Wednesday and Thursday.”
However, Deakin University’s epidemiology chairman, Catherine Bennett, said the reduction in testing was due to fewer daily reported exposures and fewer close and potential contacts required to be tested. He said it was expected.
She said the measure to watch out for was the number of people who were tested because they had symptoms.
“If they can see how many people are moving their symptoms forward and they are being maintained, it doesn’t matter if the total number goes down,” said Professor Bennett.
Local attractions saw some of the usual long weekend congestion on Saturdays against the backdrop of Melbourne’s 25km travel restrictions. When school was closed from June 25, Health Minister Martin Foley said the economic benefits of allowing travel within Victoria were considered, but not a top priority.
“Public health takes into account all these different impacts, but the key impetus is: What does public health data tell us?” He said.
Health director Yuan Wallace tweeted overnight that people with snuffs and sore throats should take the test, as the record high test drop is a sign of concern to health officials.
Professor Wallace revealed this week that the outbreak of the Kappa coronavirus in Melbourne would have been contained in just over 12 people if there had been no delay between the onset of symptoms and testing.
It has now spread to about 80 people.
Epidemiologist Adrian Esterman said 3-4 without coronavirus cases in Victoria before considering lifting travel restrictions between Melbourne and the region prior to a two-week school vacation. I said I want to see the day.
He said recent testing rates would be too low, especially alongside mysterious cases, and that many people would have COVID symptoms due to the high number of colds that are prevalent in the community.
Professor Estherman, director of biostatistics at the University of South Australia, is cautiously optimistic about the outbreak in Victoria, but the current restrictions that Melvanian almost bans guests from staying at home are: He said it needed to continue for many periods. day to day.
“And, of course, other states aren’t going to open the border until they see a series of zero-days,” he said.
Nearly 60% of participants who had a fever and cough last week had not yet been tested for coronavirus, according to national data from the FluTracking project.
Symptoms of flu-like illness are much lower than pre-pandemic levels, but significantly higher than at this time last year.
With Ashley Macmillan
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Higher number of tests essential for Victorian regulatory decisions
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